I have an histogram looking like a Poisson law. X is the day of lunar cycle (so periodic, Xfirst comes after Xlast).
I would like to define an autoregressive model in Python to fit the histogram such as :
y(x+1) = F(y(x),sin(x)) so that Xfirst is estimated with Xlast and forcing is periodic.
But I cant' figure out how to do so far ... Any suggestion ?
Thanks !